1. FAO, A. 2008. An introduction to the basic concepts of food security. FAO, Rome, Italy.
2. Ilboudo Nébié, E.K., D. Ba, and A. Giannini. 2021. Food security and climate shocks in Senegal: Who and where are the most vulnerable households?.
3. Daneshian, Asghar. 2000. The Impact of International Development and Agriculture Policies on the Food Security Strategy of the Islamic Republic of Iran; Master Thesis 1989; University of Tehran 137. [In Persian].
4. Food and A.O.o.t.U. Nations, The State of Food Insecurity in the World 2008: High Food Prices and Food Security - Threats and Opportunities. 2008: FAO.
5. Barrett, C.B. 2021. Measuring food insecurity. Science, 2010. 327(5967): p. 825-828.
6. Leroy, J.L., Ruel, M., Frongillo, E. A., Harris, J and Ballard, T. 2015. Measuring the food access dimension of food security: a critical review and mapping of indicators. Food and nutrition bulletin. 36(2): p. 167-195.
7. Food and A.O.o.t.U. Nations, FAO Yearbook. Forest Products. 1992: Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations.
8. Ehsani, M. and H. Khaledi. 2002. Recognizing and improving agricultural water productivity in order to ensure water and food security in the country, in the 11th seminar of the National Irrigation and Drainage Committee. [In Persian].
9. Bank, W. 2013. World development report 2014: Risk and opportunity-managing risk for development. The World Bank.
10. Lawlor, K., Handa, S. and Seidenfeld, D. 2019. Cash transfers enable households to cope with agricultural production and price shocks: evidence from Zambia. The journal of development studies. 55(2): p. 209-226.
11. Khosravinejad, A., K.F. Khodadad, and Z. Sohbati. 2013. Evaluation of food price increase for the welfare of urban households in Iran. Economic Strategy, 2(4), pp. 73-93. [In Persian].
12. Khosravi Nejad, A.A., F. Khodadad kashi, and Z. Sohbati. 2013. Assessing the increase in food prices on the welfare of urban households in Iran. Economic Strategy. 2 (4): p.12 -14. [In Persian].
13. Fidan, H. and M.A. Klasra. 2006. Seasonality in household demand for meat and fish: Evidence from an urban area. Turkish Journal of Veterinary and Animal Sciences. 29(6): p. 121.1224-7
14. Ghahremanzadeh, M. 2016. Measuring Impact of Rising Food Price on Iranian Urban Households Welfare. Agricultural Economics. 9(4): p. 97-119. [In Persian].
15. National Statistics Portal. (2018) < www.amar.org.ir >.
16. Abdelhedi, I.T. and S.Z. Zouari. 2020. Agriculture and food security in North Africa: A theoretical and empirical approach. Journal of the Knowledge Economy. 11(1): p. 193-210.
17. Nicholson, C.F., Stephens,E.C., Kopainsky. B., Thornton, K., Jones.A., Parsons,D. and Garrett. J. 2021. Food security outcomes in agricultural systems models: Case examples and priority information needs. Agricultural Systems. 188: p. 103030.
18. Ben Abdallah, M., M. Fekete-Farkas, and Z. Lakner. 2021. Exploring the Link between Food Security and Food Price Dynamics: A Bibliometric Analysis. Agriculture. 11(3): p. 263.
19. Luo, P. and T. Tanaka. 2021. Food import dependency and national food security: A price transmission analysis for the wheat sector. Foods :(8)10 ,p. 1715.
20. Weber, R. 2015. Welfare impacts of rising food prices: evidence from India.
21. Mojaver Hoseni, F. 2007. Estimating income and price elasticities for food products and non-food groups using aids demand system. Journal of Agricultural Economics and Development. 57: p. 199-224. [In Persian].
22. Kuyvenhoven, A. 2012., International Food Policy Research Institute. 2012: 2011 Global Food Policy Report, Springer.
23. Khodaparast Shirazi, J., N. Ashktorab, and Z. Nematollahi. 2019. The Effects of Increasing Food Commodities Prices on the Welfare and Poverty of Iranian Urban Households. Journal OF Economics And Agriculture Deve;opment. [In Persian].
24. Savari, M. and M. Ghanian. 2019. Analysis of Challenges and Strategies for Improving the Food Security in Iranian Rural Households Using Hierarchical Analysis. Village and Development. 22(3): p. 95-124. [In Persian].
25. Salem, J. and M. Mojavarian. 2015. The effect of food import capacity growth on food security of urban households in Iran. Agricultural Economics and Development. 23 (92): p [In Persian].
26. Laha, A. and S. Sinha. 2021. Implications of food price shocks on availability of food: Evidences from the Indian economy. Millennial Asia, 12(1): p. 116-130.
27. Van Campenhout, B., K. Pauw, and N. Minot. 2018. The impact of food price shocks in Uganda: first-order effects versus general-equilibrium consequences. European Review of Agricultural Economics. 45:(5)P.783-807.
28. Galtier, F. 2013. Managing food price instability: Critical assessment of the dominant doctrine. Global Food Security. 2(2): p. 72-81.
29. Gouel, C. 2012. Agricultural price instability: a survey of competing explanations and remedies. Journal of economic surveys. 26(1): p. 129-156.
30. Khiz, Z., M. Beauty, and g. Farajzadeh. 2018. The effect of drought on household income and welfare and food production index. Agricultural Economics (Economics and Agriculture). [In Persian].
31. Fathi, F. and M. Bakhshoodeh. 2021. Economic and environmental strategies against targeting energy subsidy in Iranian meat market: A game theory approach. Energy Policy. 150: p. 112153. [In Persian].
32. Fathi, F. and M. Bakhshoodeh. 2016. Consequences of Food Safety Abolishing Energy Subsidies on Iranian Meat. Journal Of Agricultural Economics and Development, :(1)30. p.1-9 [In Persian].
33. Hosseini Yekani, S., Z. Nematollahi, and M. Hosseinzadeh. 2017. The Welfare Effects of Rising of Domestic Rice Price on Mazandaranian Households. Journal Of Agricultural Economics and Development. 31(3): p. 228-239. [In Persian].
34. Mirzaei, A. and H. Azram. 2020. The effects of rising chicken prices and nominal income on food security in Iran, in 27th National Congress of Food Science and Technology. [In Persian].
35. Haggblade, S., N.M. Me-Nsope, and J.M. Staatz. 2017. Food security implications of staple food substitution in Sahelian West Africa. Food Policy. 71: p. 27-38.
36. Lofgren H. 2001. A CGE Model for Malawi; International Food Policy. Research Istitute. Washengton. 70.
37. NAJAFI, B. and A. Shoushtarian. 2004. Targeting subsidies and deleting food insecurity: the case study in Arsenjan.
38. Abdullahi, Z., Abdullahi. M and Salehi, F. 2013. Optimal food basket For the Iranian society: Permanent Thought Publications. [In Persian].
39. majalesalamat. (2015) <www.majalesalamat.com >.
Assessing the calories received by different household income groups under the influence of the nominal income compensation policy resulting from the price shock of selected foodstuffs
Abstract
Food security and its side effects is an issue that has directly or indirectly posed serious challenges to all countries in the world, especially developing countries such as Iran. Given the importance of nutrition and food consumption in household budget planning and the direct impact of prices on it, this article seeks to examine the effects of price shocks along with the nominal income compensation policy on household food security. To achieve this goal, four food groups are cereals (bread, rice and pasta), livestock products (red meat, white meat, dairy and eggs), and other agricultural products (potatoes, vegetables, fruits). Cereals and processed products (oil and sugar) were considered due to their high share in the household food basket.
Using the multi-market equilibrium model, the effects of price shocks of this group of products along with the nominal income compensation policy on the amount of calories received by households were evaluated separately for urban and rural income groups.
The results showed that the increase in income will lead the consumption pattern of poor households to consume more livestock products assuming the price of these products is stable and the consumption pattern of middle households to more consumption of agricultural products despite the increase in prices of these products. In this regard, the results showed that the sensitivity of poor households in the community, especially poor rural households to changes in income is very high. And increasing or decreasing the income of this group of households can play a decisive role in improving or weakening their food security.
Keywords: Price shock, Income shock, Calorie intake, Multi market model, Income compensation policy