1- Ph.D. student, Department of Economics. Islamic Azad University. Kerman branch. Kerman. Iran.
2- Full professor. Department of Economics. Shahid Bahonar University. Kerman. Iran. , jalaee@uk.ac.ir
3- Associate Professor. Department of Economics. Islamic Azad University. Kerman Branch. Kerman. Iran
Abstract: (618 Views)
Considering the significance of food security in the planning of developing nations, such as Iran, and the crucial role played by the private sector in food investment, this study explores the influence of technology spillovers on private sector investment in Iran's agricultural food industry over a 30-year period. Using the dynamic computable general equilibrium (DCGE) model and the 2010 social accounting matrix, the study evaluates the effects of technology spillovers in three scenarios: doubling foreign direct investment, enhancing research and development to improve production efficiency (with a technology deduction coefficient of 0.0062), and increasing capital and intermediary goods imports by 20%. The impact of these scenarios on private institutional investment in the agricultural food industry, encompassing agriculture and horticulture, livestock, fisheries, and food industries, is assessed. The results indicate that the first scenario leads to increased private sector investment in all four sectors mentioned. The second scenario does not increase private sector investment in these sectors, while the third scenario only affects investment in the fisheries sector, without impacting the other sectors of the agricultural food industry.
Article Type:
Original Research |
Subject:
Statistics, modeling and response levels in the food industry Received: 2024/01/5 | Accepted: 2024/03/10 | Published: 2024/08/22